If you’re thinking of buying a home in today’s housing market, you may be wondering how strong your investment will be. You might be asking yourself: if I buy a home now, will it lose value? Or will it continue to appreciate going forward? The good news is, according to the experts, home prices are not projected to decline. Here’s why.

With buyers still outweighing sellers, home prices are forecast to continue climbing in 2022, just at a slower or more moderate pace. Why the continued increase? It’s the simple law of supply and demand. When there are fewer items on the market than there are buyers, the competition for that item makes prices naturally rise.

And while the number of homes for sale today is expected to improve with more sellers getting ready to list their houses this winter, we’re certainly not out of the inventory woods yet. Thus, the projections show continued appreciation, but at a more moderate rate than what we’ve seen over the past year.

Here’s a look at the latest 2022 expert forecasts on home price appreciation:

What’s the biggest takeaway from this graph? None of the major experts are projecting depreciation in 2022. They’re all showing an increase in home prices next year.

And here’s what some of the industry’s experts say about how that will play out in the housing market next year:

Brad Hunter of Hunter Housing Economics explains:

“. . . the recent unsustainable rate of home price appreciation will slow sharply. . . . home prices will not decline. . . but they will simply rise at a more sustainable pace.”

Danielle Hale from realtor.com agrees:

“Price growth is expected to move back toward a normal range, but this is on top of recent high prices, . . . So prices will [still] hit new highs. . . . The pace of price growth is going to slow notably . . . ”

What Does This Mean for the Housing Market?
While home price appreciation is expected to continue, it isn’t projected to be the record-breaking 18 to almost 20% increase the market saw over the past 12 months. Overall, it’s important to note that price increases won’t be as monumental as they were in 2021 – but they certainly won’t decline anytime soon.

What Does That Mean for You?
With motivated buyers in the market and so few homes available to purchase, the imbalance of supply and demand will continue to put upward pressure on home prices in 2022. And when home price appreciation is in the forecast, that’s a clear indication your investment in homeownership is a sound one.

Bottom Line
It’s important to know that home prices are not projected to decline in the new year. Instead, they’re forecast to rise, just at more moderate pace. That’s why it’s mission-critical to work with a trusted advisor to make sure you’re up to date on what’s happening with home price appreciation in your market, so you can make an informed decision about your next move.

If you’re planning to sell your house this winter, you’ll want it to look its best inside and out. Take the time and focus on tasks that make it inviting, show it’s cared for, and boost your curb appeal. Reach out to our real estate professionals today so you can have an expert opinion on what to focus on, so it shows well and catches a buyer’s eye.

Like most industries, residential real estate has a seasonality to it. For example, toy stores sell more toys in October, November, and December than they do in any other three-month span throughout the year. More cars are sold in the U.S. during the second quarter (April, May, and June) than in any other quarter of the year.

Real estate is very similar. The number of homes sold in the spring is almost always much greater than at any other time of the year. It’s even labeled as the spring buying season. Historically, the number of buyers and listings for sale significantly increase in the spring and remains strong throughout the summer. Once fall sets in, the number of buyers and sellers typically drops off.

Last year, however, that seasonality didn’t happen. The outbreak of the virus and subsequent slowing of the economy limited sales during the spring market. These sales were pushed back later in the year, and last fall and winter saw a dramatic increase in home sales over previous years. The only thing that held the market back was the extremely limited supply of homes for sale.

What About This Winter?
Some experts thought we’d return to the industry’s normal seasonality this winter with both the number of purchasers and houses available for sale falling off. However, data now shows that neither of those situations will likely occur. Buyer demand is still extremely strong, and it appears we may soon see a somewhat uncharacteristic increase in the number of homes coming to the market.

Buyer Demand Remains Strong
The latest Showing Index from ShowingTime, which tracks the average number of monthly showings on available homes, indicates buyer activity was slightly lower than at the same time last year but much higher than any of the three previous years (see chart below):

A report from realtor.com confirms buying activity remains strong in the existing home sales market:

“New housing data shows 2021’s feverish home sales pace broke a yearly record in October, . . . with last month marking the eighth straight month of buyers snatching up homes more quickly than the fastest pace in previous years. . . .”

Buyer activity for newly constructed homes is also very strong. Ali Wolf, Chief Economist for Zonda, recently reported that Stuart Miller, the Executive Chairman of Lennar, one of the nation’s largest home builders, said this about demand:

“There is still a great deal of demand at our sales centers with people lining up and not enough supply.”

The only question heading into this winter is whether the number of listings available could come close to meeting this buyer demand. We may have just received the answer to that question.

Sellers Are About To List – Right Now
Instead of waiting for the normal spring buying market, new research indicates that homeowners thinking about selling are about to put their homes on the market this winter.

Speaking to the release of a report on this recent research, George Ratiu, Manager of Economic Research for realtor.com, said:

“The pandemic has delayed plans for many Americans, and homeowners looking to move on to the next stage of life are no exception. Recent survey data suggests the majority of prospective sellers are actively preparing to enter the market this winter.”

Here are some highlights in the report:

Of homeowners planning to enter the market in the next year:

• 65% – Have just listed (19%) or plan to list this winter
• 93% – Have already taken steps toward listing their home, including working with an agent (28%)
• 36% – Have researched the value of their home and others in their neighborhood
• 36% – Have started making repairs or decluttering

The report also discusses the reasons sellers want to move:

• 33% – Have realized they want different home features
• 37% – Say their home no longer meets their family’s needs
• 32% – Want to move closer to friends and family
• 23% – Are looking for a home office

Data shows buyer demand remains unusually strong going into this winter. Research indicates the supply of inventory is about to increase. This could be a winter real estate market like never before.

Bottom Line
If you’re thinking of buying or selling, now is the time to have a heart-to-heart conversation with one of our real estate professionals in your market, as things are about to change in an unexpected way.

This stunning 5 bedroom, 6.5 bath country estate listed at $1.9 million located in beautiful Lafayette Township will take your breath away! This gated estate with circular driveway and stately portico, hosts an entryway that creates a magnificent first impression. 

The grand two story foyer with travertine flooring and an open floor plan leads to the dazzling sunken Living Room that features 22' ceilings, Brazilian cherry hardwood floors and Murano Italy glass chandeliers. There are also floor-to-ceiling windows strategically placed to take in the magnificent views and a wood-burning fireplace that adds a warm ambiance to this striking home. 

The oversized kitchen features radiant floor heat, commercial-grade appliances, custom wood cabinetry, granite countertops and a huge island for prepping meals and gathering with company. This eat-in kitchen has a gallery of windows overlooking the delightful patio, a stone pool-deck and 12' deep concrete pool all perfectly placed amidst the meticulously manicured gardens. 

The Brazilian cherry hardwood floors continue throughout the home. The splendid Dining Room, with dome insert fresco paintings commissioned by a well-known artist, comfortably seats 20 or more guests and there is a wood-burning fireplace with access to balcony and patio that complete this luxurious home. 

The rec room includes a theatre, wet bar, full bath and walkout access to the backyard. This amazing home has four ensuite Bedrooms. The primary bedroom suite is 1,200 sq ft and features a sitting area, a  gym and a balcony. In addition, there are updated baths, a ballroom, a hot yoga room and two Tesla charging stations. 

This spectacular estate home hosts amenities that will satisfy even the most discerning buyer. For a private showing on this magnificent property, please contact ‘The Real Deal Real Estate Team’ at the Realty Executives Sparta Branch office at 973-729-7141 or Christopher Bruscino directly at 973-913-5917.

Heading into the end of the year, you might wonder if it’s still a good time to sell your house. Here’s what the latest data from the National Association of Realtors (NAR) says. Housing supply is lower than last year, and home prices are up nationwide. Meanwhile, the average home is selling fast and receiving several offers. Listing now puts your house in the spotlight, meaning it could sell quickly – and for more than you’d expect. Feeling motivated? If you’re ready to sell and capitalize on today’s market, partner with our local real estate professionals.